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National Energy Administration to increase photovoltaic support
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National Energy Administration to increase photovoltaic support

(Summary description)According to CMEN, the National Energy Administration recently released the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" for the Development of Solar Power, stating that "By the end of 2015, the installed capacity of solar power will reach 21 million kilowatts (ie 21GW), and the annual power generation will reach 25 billion kilowatt-hours. " According to the "Plan", during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, the newly added installed capacity of solar photovoltaic power plants is about 10 million kilowatts, the installed capacity of solar thermal power generation is 1 million kilowatts, and the distributed photovoltaic power generation system is about 10 million kilowatts. Calculated at 10,000 yuan, and the distributed photovoltaic system is calculated at 15,000 yuan per kilowatt, the total investment demand is about 250 billion yuan.

National Energy Administration to increase photovoltaic support

(Summary description)According to CMEN, the National Energy Administration recently released the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" for the Development of Solar Power, stating that "By the end of 2015, the installed capacity of solar power will reach 21 million kilowatts (ie 21GW), and the annual power generation will reach 25 billion kilowatt-hours. "
According to the "Plan", during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, the newly added installed capacity of solar photovoltaic power plants is about 10 million kilowatts, the installed capacity of solar thermal power generation is 1 million kilowatts, and the distributed photovoltaic power generation system is about 10 million kilowatts. Calculated at 10,000 yuan, and the distributed photovoltaic system is calculated at 15,000 yuan per kilowatt, the total investment demand is about 250 billion yuan.

Information
  According to CMEN, the National Energy Administration recently released the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" for the Development of Solar Power, stating that "By the end of 2015, the installed capacity of solar power will reach 21 million kilowatts (ie 21GW), and the annual power generation will reach 25 billion kilowatt-hours. "
According to the "Plan", during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, the newly added installed capacity of solar photovoltaic power plants is about 10 million kilowatts, the installed capacity of solar thermal power generation is 1 million kilowatts, and the distributed photovoltaic power generation system is about 10 million kilowatts. Calculated at 10,000 yuan, and the distributed photovoltaic system is calculated at 15,000 yuan per kilowatt, the total investment demand is about 250 billion yuan.
 
   (1) Exceeding expectations is still strong
   The "Twelfth Five-Year" photovoltaic planning data has been developing in a process beyond expectations, roughly going through the four stages of 10GW~15GW~21GW~40GW.
   believes that although the actual announced figure is still 21GW, the 40GW expectation has not changed. According to historical experience, there are still adjustment expectations.
   According to people familiar with the matter, the above 21GW statement does not have much guiding significance. In the short term, the EU "anti-dumping" case was filed in early September, and the National Energy Administration decided to increase support for photovoltaics, which also increased the possibility of exceeding expectations.
 
   (2) Industry trends are difficult to change
   believes that even if the actual scale reaches 40GW, it will be difficult to change the overall downturn of the industry.
   At present, although the share of Europe has declined, it is still the most concentrated region. Only Italy and Germany combined reached 50% in 2011.
  It is expected that the share of the European region will still decrease in 2012. It is estimated that Germany will be 7GW, Italy will be 3GW, the total ratio is about 1/3, and the total 15GW in EU countries corresponds to about 1/2.
   Despite the rapid rise of the Chinese market, CMEN believes that it is still difficult to replace the European market even according to the 40GW target that exceeds expectations. If the double reverse is established, the European market will be completely lost. 

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